The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why trend-following may trump fundamental analysis

Tim Price of Private Value Partners explains why he thinks technical analysis - particularly trend-following - may be a more useful discipline than fundamental analysis. He recounts the anecdote of the true-life counterparts of the film Trading Places, with so-called novice investors, called "turtles", taught an investment system, with many of them becoming hugely successful. He points out the downside of index investing and believes that the early warning of problems with the world's burgeoning debts may first be seen in the foreign exchange markets, which central banks are not big enough to control.