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Programme: The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors
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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook For Personal Investors: US inflation, UK GDP and political uncertainty

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook For Personal Investors: US inflation, UK GDP and political uncertainty
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor explains why markets viewed the lastest US inflation numbers – softening to 8.5% – so positively. She discusses what might be expected from the UK's GDP figures. She explains why the current political uncertainty in the UK – with the two very different approaches espoused by the candidates – is making the country a difficult place to invest, suggesting that, for the time being, UK markets are in a holding pattern.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Biggest Interest Rate Hike In 27 Years

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Biggest Interest Rate Hike In 27 Years
Laith Khalaf of A J Bell explains why there was muted market reaction to the Bank of England's MPC increasing interest rates to 1.75%, the biggest increase in 27 years. With MPC members voting 8-1 in favour of the increase, Laith thought the Bank's forecast of 13% CPI inflation this winter showed them to be yet again behind the curve. If Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest, Laith wondered if the MPC's remit – to keep inflation to 2% – might be under review.
Guest:

Laith Khalaf

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Market perkiness and UK company earnings

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Market perkiness and UK company earnings
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor talks to Simon Rose about why markets have been so buoyant despite aggressive monetary tightening from the US Federal Reserve. UK markets are lagging ahead of next week's MPC decision but earnings from commodity companies like Shell and Centrica were buoyant. Not so the reaction to results from either Barclays Bank or challenger Metro. Drinks giant Diagio is weathering the inflationary environment well, showing a bit shift to low- and no-alcohol drinks while ITV pleased investors with how well it is doing.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: ECB rate hike, latest CPI & Carnival rights issue

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: ECB rate hike, latest CPI & Carnival rights issue
Russ Mould of A J Bell talks to Simon Rose about the ECB rate hike, bigger than expected in an effort to tackle inflation. He points out that there are 19 different inflation rates to consider and wonders how one interest rate can satisfy the requirements of so many countries. Are they, and other central banks, increasing rates into a possible recession? He also looks at the cost-of-living indicators for the UK and the latest capital raising exercise from cruise ship operator Carnival, a company, he feels, which may suffer if discretionary spending is cut back.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: What do the stats tell us on housing and the economy?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: What do the stats tell us on housing and the economy?
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor talks to Simon Rose about the current state of the housing market in the light of Barratt Developments' earnings. While the RICS show that price rises are slowing, the imbalance of housing supply and demand may provide support while UK rents have hit a record high. The latest GDP numbers were stronger than expected while retail sales continue to suffer; those retailers depending on discretionary spending are suffering most heavily.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: How are markets affected by mid-term PMs?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: How are markets affected by mid-term PMs?
Russ Mould of A J Bell discusses with Simon Rose how markets have reacted to the resignation of Boris Johnson as PM, reflecting that no PLC board could behave as some politicians have done. He has looked at what difference it makes to shares when the Prime Minister is changed mid-term, finding that it makes little difference in the short term. Over a longer period, the economy is likely to have more of an effect although government policy – interventionist or not? – may yet be important. One thing is sure, this uncertainty won't encourage the overseas investors on whom the UK is so dependent.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why are ESG funds underperforming?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why are ESG funds underperforming?
Myron Jobson of Interactive Investor discusses ESG or ethical investing funds with Simon Rose. He explains that, because green-orientated companies tend to be relatively new, they have suffered from the general rotation from growth to value stocks. For obvious reasons, they are underweight in the energy and defence sectors which have done well of late. He points out, though, that ESG funds have outperformed over the longer-term and suggests that investors be patient and not panic.
Guest:

Myron Jobson

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The three phases of bear markets

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The three phases of bear markets
With even commodities now being dragged down by recession worries and fears of demand destruction, Russ Mould of A J Bell looks at the three phases of bear markets. He believes we might be about to enter the second phase but that we are still some way off the worst. Investors should concentrate on the preservation of capital, avoiding undue risk and perhaps shedding investments they aren't too confident about.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Stress test your portfolio & wait for opportunities

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Stress test your portfolio & wait for opportunities
Russ Mould of A J Bell points out that while central bankers may claim the war in Ukraine is responsible for inflation surging, it's their long-standing zero-interest-rate policy that has stacked the combustible material up ready to be ignited. For investors, the aim must be to preserve capital as markets react. Stress test your portfolio and think about sectors like banks (already pricing in recession) and real assets. There will be opportunities to come for those who have cash to hand.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal investors: The ECB and interest rates & oil prices

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal investors: The ECB and interest rates & oil prices
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor looks at the latest from the ECB, hinting that it will increase rates by 25 basis points in July and ending its asset purchase programme. With the price of filling a tank now hitting £100, she discusses what it means not just for households but also businesses. Which can pass on rising costs? As well as oil and commodity companies, she suggests that it could be worth looking at the luxury brands; they seem fairly immune, as long as there's no recession.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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