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Programme: The Bigger Picture
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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: Trump's return as President, UK infrastructure & how safe is Rachel Reeves?

Simon Rose
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The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: Trump's return as President, UK infrastructure & how safe is Rachel Reeves?
Political commentator Mike Indian says that Trump's return to the White House represents a pivot back to US isolationism which leaves a void to be filled and means a less secure world. Despite outward appearances, he feels that Trump's Presidency should not be seen as normal. The UK Government's removal of legal challenges to UK infrastructure projects is, he says, a welcome development. While the Chancellor is under pressure from increasingly nervous money markets, Mike feels it is too early to write Rachel Reeves off yet, pointing out that her fortunes are very much bound up with Sir Keir Starmer.
Guest:

Mike Indian

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: Is Labour pivoting right, a must-read book & Canada's federal elections

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: Is Labour pivoting right, a must-read book & Canada's federal elections
Professor Tim Evans of Middlesex University wonders, now the wheels are coming off the Government's bus, if Labour is pivoting to the right, with rumoured welfare cuts, implementing the university free speech law and scrapping the banning of gas boilers by 2035. If so, how will the Conservatives react? He strongly recommends Peter Turchin's book, "End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites an Indicators of Revolution" and what it means for our times. And he discusses the probable change in government in Canada in the autumn and whether a new Conservative government will reconsider the role of the state.
Guest:

Professor Tim Evans

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: The Chancellor & the markets, the grooming inquiry call and Elon Musk & Reform

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: The Chancellor & the markets, the grooming inquiry call and Elon Musk & Reform
Political commentator Mike Indian discusses the Chancellor's options in face of the rise in UK borrowing costs and fall in sterling. Will Keir Starmer retain confidence in her? His own future will be determined by her fate. He also addreses the grooming inquiry call and vote, worrying it all feels like too little too late. We owe it to the victims to see that the Jay Report's findings are implemented and that failings in the system need to be addressed. He also discusses Elon Musk's intervention and his relationship with Reform.
Guest:

Mike Indian

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: The political economy of time, the new "New Right" and the economic case against EVs - 02 Jan 25

Simon Rose
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The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: The political economy of time, the new "New Right" and the economic case against EVs - 02 Jan 25
As 2025 begins, Professor Tim Evans takes the opportunity to discuss the political economy of seasonality and time and reflect upon the importance of time, which some political regimes have tried to amend. He feels we are starting to see the birth of a new "New Right", 45 years on from Reagan and Thatcher. While Milei, Trump and Farage have many different ideas, it appears that they are consulting each other, which might make 2025 a rollercoaster year. He also considers the unintended consequences of the push to electric vehicles, with a divide growing between those who have driveways (and cheap charging) and those who do not. If the US brings down the price of oil, the attraction for EVs will decline and further embolden those who oppose the rush to Net Zero.
Guest:

Professor Tim Evans

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: Problems for the UK economy, Reform's danger to the Tories & the New Year ahead

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: Problems for the UK economy, Reform's danger to the Tories & the New Year ahead
Professor Tim Evans of Middlesex University rounds off the year's Bigger Pictures by explaining why investors are getting spooked by the UK economy going from bad to worse. We are effectively back in the 1970s, he says, only, in some ways, it's even worse. Instead of effectively tackling the problem, politicians' heads are full of spaghetti. If Elon Musk contributes heavily to Reform, a psychological wall will break and the Conservative Party will face an existential crisis. And Tim looks ahead to what 2025 might bring, wondering where the unforseen Black Swans will come from.
Guest:

Professor Tim Evans

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: How to invest long-term when US debt is not just a problem but a predicament

Simon Rose
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The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: How to invest long-term when US debt is not just a problem but a predicament
Tim Price of Price Value Partners explains why, despite the US market's Trump optimism, US debt has gone from a problem to a predicament. Most western governments are technically bankrupt but Tim points out that, contrary to popular belief, there is no real link between economies and stock markets. He explains his investment philosophy which stresses the importance of not losing money, ignoring the latest hot thing like the tech sector and investing in real assets such as gold and silver, now 20 years into a bull run. Silver, he says, is essential for industry and the green revolution but demand is greater than is being mined. He discusses long-term inflation and why he feels money is too important to be messed about with by central bankers and politicians.
Guest:

Tim Price

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: France's political turmoil, why Starmer is doomed & the surge of Reform

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: France's political turmoil, why Starmer is doomed & the surge of Reform
Professor Tim Evans of Middlesex University wonders if the French Fifth Republic can continue much longer, with its politics increasingly polarised. With the German economy in free fall, even the survival of the Euro may be in doubt. Tim finds Keir Stamer less the heir to Blair than to Wilson and Callaghan, believing he is a catastrophically bad PM who is avoiding anything meaningful while doubling down on his worst ideas. But the Conservatives may not benefit. Badenoch is not doing well enough and Reform could soon surge past the Tories as they professionalise and purge the nasties. Why should they do a deal with the Conservative Party if they could be elected on their own, asks Tim?
Guest:

Professor Tim Evans

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: The Assisted Dying Bill, net migration, the General Election petition & Davey's disc

Simon Rose
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The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: The Assisted Dying Bill, net migration, the General Election petition & Davey's disc
Political commentator Mike Indian discusses Kim Leadbeater's assisted dying bill. Will Starmer's authority be damaged if it doesn't pass? Will it affect his releationship with Wes Streeting, who is against it? Mike reckons that, pass or not, assisted dying is likely to be law in 10 years or so. He also discusses the upwards revision in net migration to almost a million in a year. Although Labour weren't in power, it will be used as a lever to attack them. How can they get it under control? He also, briefly, looks at the mass petition for a re-run of the General Election and Ed Davey's bid for a Christmas #1 record.
Guest:

Mike Indian

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: European-style welfarism, the medical monopoly & the politics of the Tractor Tax

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: European-style welfarism, the medical monopoly & the politics of the Tractor Tax
Professor Tim Evans of Middlesex University discusses how the government wants to turn the UK into an EU-style higher-spending social democracy, not realising that the European model is falling off a cliff. With Germany in economic meltdown, he reveals that directors of German's biggest car manufacturers are considering moving the businesses abroad. He discusses the role of Physician Associates in the NHS and the problems caused by medical monopolies opposing supply-side reforms. And he assesses the Tractor Tax. While it might have the whiff of class warfare, he cannot see Labour retreating while the right is so disunited.
Guest:

Professor Tim Evans

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Simon Rose

The Bigger Picture: Aftermath of Trump's victory, can he and Musk work together & Badenoch's win

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: Aftermath of Trump's victory, can he and Musk work together & Badenoch's win
Political commentator Mike Indian discusses the aftermath of Trump's unexpectedly complete election victory. He has the consent of the people, but what will happen in 4 years' time if he doesn't deliver. Elon Musk is in charge of delivering government efficiency but can the two men – similar in many respects – get along long term? If they can, it could have a transformative effect upon the USA. At home, Kemi Badenoch has had a strong start as Tory leader and could be good at keeping Keir Starmer on his toes. But she needs to be wary of being too spiky with people, particularly given the fractiousness of the remaining Conservative MPs.
Guest:

Mike Indian

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