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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: With inflation persisting, where are interest rates headed?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: With inflation persisting, where are interest rates headed?
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor summarises the latest UK inflation and employment statistics. In the light of general inflation remaining above 10% and with the likes of food and drink considerably higher than that, what do economists think will happen with interest rates? Is a hike more likely now? Will the economy fall into a recession this year? And will the UK stock market's tear come to an end?
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Gold and gold mining shares

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Gold and gold mining shares
Russ Mould of A J Bell looks at gold, which recently went above $2,000 an ounce again. He asks how the metal, which produces no income, can be valued. Believing it is NOT an inflation hedge, he does think it can be a hedge against loss of faith in central bankers. Despite a round of mergers and acquisitions in the industry, while gold has risen 30% since 2020, gold shares, out of fashion, are only up 12%. While smaller and riskier than the giants, he wonders if some UK gold producers could be considered cheap.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: What lessons should we learn from banking problems?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: What lessons should we learn from banking problems?
Russ Mould of A J Bell finds it curious that central bankers are not looking in the mirror, but blaming social media and older people for recent problems, given that an excess of cheap money is at the root of so much that has gone wong. He believes there will still be reckonings to come in some areas and that the chances of a recession in the US have increased. UK investors, though, should concentrate on value and ignore short-term static. Don't be influenced by the mistakes of others.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The BoE raises interest rates for the 11th time in a row

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The BoE raises interest rates for the 11th time in a row
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor discusses the MPC's decision to raise interest rates 25 basis points to 4.25%, although there were 2 votes against the move. With inflation ticking up again, the Bank is clearly still concerned about how far CPI is above its 2% target, maintaining that the UK banking system is robust, despite problems in the US and Switzerland. While savers may cheer rising rates, Victoria points out that inflation is still well above savings rates, so there's a negative real return.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The UK Budget & market nervousness over the banks

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The UK Budget & market nervousness over the banks
Russ Mould of A JBell thinks Jeremy Hunt delivering the Budget did his best with a weak hand. Essentially, there is no money when the national interest bill is £100bn. Market nervousness about contagion from SVB and Credit Suisse Russ puts down to money being cheap for far too long. It has meant that too many people have done risky, silly things. Nervous investors should remember the basics, sticking to disciplined companies with sound management. He also wonders if 5% is the new 17%.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: UK economic indicators & the hawkish Fed Chair

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: UK economic indicators & the hawkish Fed Chair
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor looks at some of the recent indicators giving a guide to the state of the UK economy, including the Halifax house price index and the RICS's house price balance. She also looks at the recent retail sales numbers and KPMG's jobs market report. But the big driver of the market this week has been the hawkish testimony to Congress of Fed Chairman Jay Powell.
Guest:

Victoria Scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Persimmon & the housebuilding sector

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Persimmon & the housebuilding sector
Russ Mould of A J Bell looks at the results of Persimmon, the latest company offering a paper yield higher than 10% that turned out to be illusory. That the share price didn't fall further on terrible results shows that the market was ahead of the game. Russ looks at the sector as a whole. Some builders are trading at a discount to book value and sentiment will turn at some stage. But housebuilders are likely to be volatile and potential investors will have to be very brave.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Rolls-Royce, BAE, Heathrow, WPP & Rio Tinto

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Rolls-Royce, BAE, Heathrow, WPP & Rio Tinto
Victoria Scholar of Interactive Investor explains why supermarkets are rationing some fruit and vegetables. She also looks at results from Rolls-Royce, the first under its new CEO, as well as from BAE Systems (increasing its dividend), Heathrow Airport, where business is picking up less quickly than hoped for, advertising giant WPP and miner Rio Tino, which has slashed its dividend.
Guest:

victoria scholar

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Barclays, Standard Chartered & the banking sector

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Barclays, Standard Chartered & the banking sector
Russ Mould of A J Bell takes a look at the banking sector. He points out that there are many similarities in the results from Barclays and Standard Chartered, with both showing the highest profits and dividends for some time. However, the market has reacted very differently, with Barclays punished and Standard boosted. He also discusses why banks might be being criticised by MPs and others for still squeezing savers.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: A rate rise & market reaction to Rishi's 100 days

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: A rate rise & market reaction to Rishi's 100 days
Russ Mould of A J Bell looks at the MPC's decision to increase rates to 4%, the highest since 2008. Is it doing the right thing? He has crunched the numbers to reveal that the All Share has risen 11.5% during Sunak's 100 days as PM, second only to the rise when Edward Heath entered Number Ten (15.4%) and slightly ahead of Tony Blair (10.1%).
Guest:

Russ Mould

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